The first week is behind us and lets see how I did in comparison to the actual results.
I correctly picked the winner of the game 73.91%
In games without identical lines, I beat Vegas odds (all on the spread): 57.78%
So even though it is so early in the season, I was able to get over a 50% winning record over Vegas odds. Meaning thus far my calculator is better than Vegas odds makers. Woot!
My top bet busters where I had the highest discrepancy to Vegas:
Arizona State @ Georgia: Win over Vegas
Georgia won by 3, Vegas said Georgia by 11.5, I said ASU by 17
If you took ASU to beat the spread, you won!
South Florida @ Florida State: Win over Vegas
USF won by 10, Vegas said FSU by 14, I said USF by 12
If you took USF to beat the spread, you won!
Washington State @ USC: Win over Vegas
USC won by 21, Vegas said USC by 45, I said USC by 23
If you took Washington State to beat the spread, you won!
Missouri @ Nevada: Win over Vegas
Missouri won by 10, Vegas said Missouri by 7.5, I said Missouri by 28
If you took Missouri to cover the spread, you won!
Louisiana-Monroe @ Florida Atlantic: Win over Vegas
L-Monroe won by 2, Vegas said FAU by 4, I said L-Monroe by 14
If you took L-Monroe to beat the spread, you won!
Ohio @ Tennessee: Win over Vegas
Tennessee won by 11, Vegas said Tennessee by 22, I said Tennessee by 6
If you took Ohio to beat the spread, you won!
Troy @ Arkansas State: Loss to Vegas
Troy won by 3, Vegas said Arkansas St. by 2.5, I said Arkansas St. by 18
If you took Arkansas St. to cover the spread, you lost :(
New Mexico State @ New Mexico: Win over Vegas
New Mexico St. won by 3, Vegas said New Mexico by 9.5, I said New Mexico St. by 6
If you took New Mexico st. to beat the spread, you won!
UTEP @ Texas: Loss to Vegas
Texas won by 57, Vegas said Texas by 35.5, I said Texas by 21
If you took UTEP to cover the spread, you lost :(
Indiana @ Michigan: Win over Vegas
Michigan won by 3, Vegas said Michigan by 21, I said Michigan by 7
If you took Indiana to cover the spread, you won!
I went 8/10 in my top 10 Bet Busters. 80%
Overall I will say that this was a very successful week for the calculator. We will see if it was a fluke or if my algorithm really is that good. I tend to think my algorithm is just that good.