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Week 6 - Breaking Down My Performace
Monday, October 12, 2009 10:17 AM

The calculator choose the correct winner: 74.47% in week 6 (All Time High!)
The calculator beat Vegas: 60.87% in week 6 (Another All Time High!)

Breaking down my top 10 Bet Busters: (All Time Low)

Idaho @ San Jose State
Vegas Says: San Jose State by 4
I Say: Idaho by 12
Actual Score: Idaho by 4
If you toook Idaho to cover, you won!

Baylor @ Oklahoma
Vegas Says: Oklahoma by 28 (Moved from 25)
I Say: Oklahoma by 9
Actual Score: Oklahomoa by 26
Because of an Injury the line was moved to 28, So if you took Baylor to cover,  you won!

Louisiana Tech @ Nevada
Vegas Says: Nevada by 10.5
I Say: Louisiana Tech by 4
Actual Score: Nevada by 23
If you took Louisiana Tech to cover, you lost

Boston College @ Virginia Tech
Vegas Says: Virginia Tech by 13.5
I Say: Boston College by 0
Actual Score: Virginia Tech by 34
If you took Boston College to cover,  you lost

Kansas State @ Texas Tech
Vegas Says: Texas Tech by 16
I Say: Texas Tech by 7
Actual Score: Texas Tech by 52
If you took Kansas St. to cover, you lost

Indiana @ Virginia
Vegas Says: Virginia by 6.5
I Say: Indiana by 2
Actual Score: Virginia by 40
If you took Indiana to cover, you lost

Wisconsin @ Ohio State
Vegas Says: Ohio State by 16
I Say: Ohio State by 8
Actual Score: Ohio State by 18
If you took Wisconsin to cover, you lost

TCU @ Air Force
Vegas Says: TCU by 10
I Say: TCU by 2
Actual Score: TCU by 3
If you took Air force to cover, you won

Colorado @ Texas
Vegas Says: Texas by 32
I Say: Texas by 24
Actual Score: Texas by 24
If you took Colorado to cover, you won
*Side note I came very close to the actual score of the game, I was off by a FG on both sides

BYU @ UNLV
Vegas Says: BYU by 17
I Say: BYU by 10
Actual Score: BYU by 38
If you took UNLV to cover, you lost

In the Top 10 this week I went:  40%

Iv'e come to the conclusion that my algorithm is having a hard time predicting blowouts, because most of these top 10 were blowouts.  I will be tweaking the algorithm slightly this week to accommodate for the possibility of blowouts

Comments

Posted by: James | 10/12/2009 at 11:07 AM
Yeah i went 0-4 for this week on your top 10.


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