Time for the Week 7 edition of Bet Busters! Week 7 couldn't come any sooner because last week was definitely a forgettable one. Overall the calculator performed very well. It correctly chose the winner in
74.47% of all games and beat Vegas a very impressive
60.87% of the time. Both of those figures are all-time highs for the calculator. However when it comes to the Bet Busters, the calculator was a dismal
40% in Week 6. Check out the
Week 6 Review to see exactly how the picks fared. You'll also see at the bottom of the Week 6 Review that Chris Mesa made some tweaks to the calculator which should hopefully allow it to accurately predict more blowouts.
Here are the results from Week 6:
Idaho vs. San Jose State = Win
Baylor vs. Oklahoma = Win
TCU vs. Air Force= Win
Colorado vs. Texas = Win
Louisiana Tech vs. Nevada = Loss
Boston College vs. Virginia Tech = Loss
Kansas State vs. Texas Tech = Loss
Indiana vs. Virginia = Loss
Wisconsin vs. Ohio St. = Loss
BYU vs. UNLV = Loss
We bet a total of $0.13 and ended up with a balance of $0.1755. So even though we only got 4 out of 10 picks correct, we increased our previous balance of $0.1567 by
12%. This is because we doubled up on our top 3 Bet Busters of the week and picked 2 of those correctly. So even in a down week we still came out on top. Hard to complain with that right?
Here are the score calcs Top Bet Busters for Week 7:
*Odds updated Wednesdays
Top Bet Busters Week 7
| Marshall @ West Virginia | Vegas Says: West Virginia by 20.5 | I Say: West Virginia by 8 | View Matchup |
| New Mexico State @ Louisiana Tech | Vegas Says: Louisiana Tech by 20 | I Say: Louisiana Tech by 8 | View Matchup |
| Kansas @ Colorado | Vegas Says: Kansas by 9.5 | I Say: Kansas by 19 | View Matchup |
| Miami Ohio @ Ohio | Vegas Says: Ohio by 14 | I Say: Ohio by 22 | View Matchup |
| Northwestern @ Michigan State | Vegas Says: Michigan State by 13.5 | I Say: Michigan State by 6 | View Matchup |
| Illinois @ Indiana | Vegas Says: Illinois by 2 | I Say: Indiana by 5 | View Matchup |
| Central Michigan @ Western Michigan | Vegas Says: Central Michigan by 7 | I Say: Central Michigan by 14 | View Matchup |
| UAB @ Ole Miss | Vegas Says: Ole Miss by 22 | I Say: Ole Miss by 15 | View Matchup |
| Colorado State @ TCU | Vegas Says: TCU by 22 | I Say: TCU by 15 | View Matchup |
| Miami @ Central Florida | Vegas Says: Miami by 14.5 | I Say: Miami by 8 | View Matchup |
Here are the wagers placed on CentSports.com:
1. Marshall against West Virginia. Bet $0.03 to win $0.0545
2. New Mexico St. against Louisiana Tech. Bet $0.03 to win $0.0545
3. Kansas against Colorado. Bet $0.02 to win $0.0364
4. Ohio against Miami Ohio. Bet $0.02 to win $0.03645. Northwestern against Michigan St. Bet $0.02 to win $0.03646. Indiana against Illinois. Bet $0.01 to win $0.0173
7. Central Michigan against Western Michigan. Bet $0.01 to win $0.0190
8. UAB against Ole Miss. Bet $0.01 to win $0.0182
9. Colorado State against TCU. Bet $0.01 to win $0.018210. Central Florida against Miami. Bet $0.01 to win $0.0182
Total Bet: $0.17
Potential Payout: $0.3091
Once again this week we altered the amount we wagered on each game. As you can see we decided to bet $.03 on our top 2 most confident picks, $.02 on the next 3 most confident, and $.01 on the bottom 5. In trying to gauge the power of the calculator we feel it only makes sense to weigh the top Bet Busters the most. We'll see how this strategy plays out over the course of the weekend. Follow along to see how we do!
EDIT:
Well, figures something like this would happen. This morning (10/16) the Northern Illinois @ Toledo line was finally posted by Vegas making it #4 on this weeks Bet Busters. The only problem with all of this is we already bet our bankroll on the 10 games listed above so we won't be able to put any action on this game. Vegas says Northern Illinois by 7 and the calculator has them covering the spread and winning by 16. Be sure to keep an eye on this matchup in addition to the other Bet Busters for Week 7.