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Week 12 - Breaking Down My Performace
Monday, November 23, 2009 3:33 PM

This week over Vegas we correctly picked the winner 50% of the time!
This week we correctly picked the winner 76.19% of the time!

********Bet Buster Results********

The calculator is very anti-blowout.  I am going to have to restructure the algorithm to handle that because the majority of the losses I have had this year are on poorly predicted blowouts.

Florida International @ Florida

Vegas Says: Florida by 45
I Say: Florida by 31
Actual Score: Florida by 59
If you took FIU to cover the spread, you lost :(

Iowa State @ Missouri
Vegas Says: Missouri by 15
I Say: Missouri by 6
Actual Score: Missouri by 10
If you took Iowa State to cover, you won!

Air Force @ Brigham Young
Vegas Says: Brigham Young by 10
I Say: Brigham Young by 1
Actual Score: Brigham Young by 17
If you took Air Force to cover, you lost :(

Kentucky @ Georgia
Vegas Says: Georgia by 9
I Say: Georgia by 1
Actual Score: Kentucky by 7
If you took Kentucky to cover, you won!

Hawaii @ San Jose State
Vegas Says: Hawaii by 3
I Say: Hawaii by 10
Actual Score: Hawaii by 7
If you took San Jose State to cover, you won!

Florida Atlantic @ Troy

Vegas Says: Troy by 16.5
I Say: Troy by 10
Actual Score: Troy by 26
If you took Florida Atlantic to cover, you lost :(

Rutgers @ Syracuse
Vegas Says: Rutgers by 8
I Say: Rutgers by 14
Actual Score: Syracuse by 18
If you took Rutgers to beat the spread, you lost :( -- (Who saw this coming!!)

Oregon State @ Washington State
Vegas Says: Oregon State by 31
I Say: Oregon State by 25
Actual Score: Oregon State by 32
If you took Washington State to cover, you lost :(

Nevada @ New Mexico State
Vegas Says: Nevada by 30
I Say: Nevada by 24
Actual Score: Nevada by 43
If you took New Mexico State to cover, you lost :(

TCU @ Wyoming
Vegas Says: TCU by 31.5
I Say: TCU by 26
Actual Score: TCU by 35
If you took Wyoming to cover, you lost :(


The bet busters went 30% this week with the top half win heavy.  So it should still be a decent week

Comments

Posted by: Stinks again | 11/23/2009 at 5:55 PM
This calculator is having a tough time.

Posted by: Christopher | 11/23/2009 at 6:25 PM
Agreed. I really have to sit down and figure out how I can predict these blowouts better. Because when you look at the predictions. You just know they are wrong sometimes.

Posted by: Steev | 11/27/2009 at 6:38 PM
You and your calculator really aren't that good are you?


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